You know my position from the beginning. Mao constantly warned about strategic impetuosity.
Gen Z has done exceptionally well in setting the stage by orchestrating a major social convulsion.
From what I can see, the next stage would require a solid revolutionary organisation to guide the strategic thinking.
As far as I can see, there has not been an overthrow of the political class that leads to an overhaul of the political system. That class continues to hold and control the dominant means of production in Kenya.
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Kenya’s independence process created an entire class of dispossessed around land. It is a veritable Bantustanisation that took place.
Land loot points to who are the real oppressors, and this is a major and throbbing faultline. About 60% of Kenyans living on 5% of the land, while 2 families own 20% of the land are statistics that used to be thrown around. That picture is worse than what the Latifundia distorted their society into. Hopefully, the macro picture on land has become a little less bad.
Gen Z must be hailed and applauded with deep respect. The revolution is yet to come in my view. Not even Ruto leaving office will necessarily signal that.
That said, there are many sub-processes that eventually precipitate a revolution. One is the creation of true consciousness of what it is.
The attack on Moncada Barracks was not a revolution – though it set the stage for Fidel to really take on the oppressor, through his court defence. The Hunan peasants rebellion was not a revolution, though it served as the nucleation centre for one, when Mao and his lieutenants guided the macro-strategy. Lenin made many initial attempts and efforts that did not at first boot out the monarchy, the Bolsheviks followed later. The Paris Commune – and much later the ’68 riots, were not revolutions. History properly records when the ancien regime was toppled. BLM was an international expression of rage at racism, it did not exact revolutionary change in America. And so on.
What is happening in Kenya is useful and exemplary in its courage and determination to confront a government in power. In my view, the revolution is yet to come. That will depend on what is done in the future.
If I were Ruto though, I would heed the signal of the moment. For revolutions can be very explosive, when they do arrive.
